New Zealand’s two main parties were neck and neck on Saturday with over 50 percent of votes counted, and neither had secured an outright majority, data from the electoral commission showed.
The conservative National Party and the centre-left Labour Party were both at 29.4 percent.
Kiwis are struggling to make ends meet — the price of basic goods remains stubbornly high and unemployment at its highest in more than a decade.
The war in the Middle East and the subsequent global fuel shock have been widely blamed for the hit to New Zealand’s trade-dependent economy.
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon hoped his right-wing coalition could cling to power with promises of “no new taxes”, after three fractious years in office, two failed bids by his own National Party to oust him as leader and an economy in the doldrums.
– ‘Very close’ –
At a Labour event in Upper Hutt near Wellington bedecked with red balloons, party workers were quietly confident they had secured the largest number of seats.
And at a National gathering in the country’s largest city of Auckland, cheers rose from the crowd as the party’s candidates were shown to be ahead.
Police minister and National lawmaker Mark Mitchell told journalists it was “very close”.
“When you reflect on what’s happening globally, we certainly see lots of geopolitical uncertainty,” he said.
“I think considering that we’ve governed through that period, we’re actually doing quite well.”
By 09:44 pm (0844 GMT), with over half of the votes already counted, the two main parties were neck-and-neck — both at 29 percent with just a few thousand votes separating them.
Neither is projected to win enough seats in New Zealand’s parliament to govern alone.
– Anti-establishment feeling –
That has focused intense attention on the country’s minor parties, in particular the upstart centrist Opportunity Party.
Under the country’s mixed-member proportional representation (MMP) system, voters must tick two options — a general party list as well as an individual member to represent their electorate.
Early results put Opportunity winning over five percent — the threshold needed to gain seats in parliament without an electorate candidate win, which would likely secure the party a kingmaker role in the next government.
The party is led by former KPMG consultant Qiulae Wong, who has vowed a kinder, gentler politics and said she could work with whichever party wins the most seats.
“You guys have voted for unity over division,” she said as votes rolled in.
“You have voted to change New Zealand politics for good.”
– ‘Stick to the plan’ –
David Capie, a professor at Victoria University of Wellington, said voter fatigue with the two establishment parties was fuelling Wong’s rise.
“In some ways, it looks to me a bit like a bit of a blank slate where people are projecting what they would like,” he said.
Prime Minister Luxon urged voters on Friday to “stick to the plan that’s working”.
“Don’t risk a Labour government.”
The centre-left party was turfed out of office in 2023, having struggled to inspire voters following the resignation of former Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern, who became a global progressive icon.
Her replacement, Hipkins, hasn’t quite inherited her star quality — instead portraying himself as an everyman, joking about his poor dress sense, love of sausage rolls and passion for DIY.
The party will also likely need to govern in coalition with the left-wing Green Party, which has surged to record support with a focus on the rising costs of living.
